Development Economist
50AI USED FOR50%moving to88%
THE DOOR, NOWC
THE DOOR, 20 YRSE
STARTING PAY£30,000 - £36,000
NO MOATNo physical, legal or personal barrier protects this work from software.
Will AI take this job?
The measured answer for Development Economist. Measured August 2026.
AI is already used for 50% of the measured tasks of a Development Economist, heading for 88% within 20 years. The door in is grade C today, grade E in 20 years. Moat: none - No physical, legal or personal barrier protects this work from software.
AI EXPOSURE is the share of this job's day-to-day tasks AI is already used for, from observed real-world usage by occupation (Anthropic labour market research, 2026). It is a measurement of now, not a prediction that the job disappears.
GUT CHECK
That exposure number: how does it compare to what you expected?
Where it sits
Out of 1,840 scored careers, 1,688 are less exposed than Development Economist, 130 are more exposed, and 21 score exactly the same.
less exposed · same score (including this career) · more exposed
Within a tied score, order is alphabetical and means nothing: the measurement supports no finer ranking than the number itself.
Why we say this
The exposure score comes from Anthropic's 2026 labour market research: observed, real-world AI usage matched to occupations. THE DOOR grades come from each career's published forecast in OpenAI's "The AI Jobs Transition Framework" (Richmond 2026, CC BY 4.0). The moat classification records what structurally protects a job: hands-on work, legal accountability, or people wanting a real person - and where we have no record, the card says so instead of guessing. Scorecard verdicts are Careermash editorial judgment; we show forecasts as forecasts and own our conclusions.
The ledger
Every change to this measurement or to any wording that carries a claim is recorded here, permanently. Nothing is edited or deleted.
- 2026-08-29Moat lines rewritten to assert only what the engine classification means (hands-on / protected by law / people want a real person / no special protection). No scores changed.
- 2026-08-19Correction: careers without a moat record stopped showing a confident "NO MOAT" claim and now show "moat not yet classified". Exposure scores were and remain real for every career.
- 2026-08-16First public measurement: AI exposure per occupation from Anthropic 2026 observed-usage research; door grades and 20-year horizons from OpenAI "The AI Jobs Transition Framework" (Richmond 2026, CC BY 4.0).
FOLLOW THIS CARD
Show your parent → the same numbers, explained for the kitchen tableOne email when this career's measurement changes: what moved, and the ledger entry that explains it. No name, no account, nothing else, ever.